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ABREL Poised to Emerge as Top-Tier Pan-India Developer  

20250331150434 Aditya Birla Real Estate

Bengaluru, June 23, 2025: Aditya Birla Real Estate (ABREL) has clocked an impressive 90 per cent pre-sales CAGR over FY21-FY25, placing it amongst the top five residential developers in a short span.

With a strong launch pipeline and new BD additions of INR 150 billion-200 billion annually, the management is targeting 20-25 per cent pre-sales growth over the mid-term.

Growth levers include
(a) 3.6 msf/INR 59 billon-plus of unsold inventory
(b) 21.1 msf/ INR 460 billion-plus of under-approval projects
(c) A sizable land bank and
(d) BD/JVs with reputed partners.

Monetisation of the paper business (net proceeds: INR 11 billion-12 billion) and scale-up in annuity income (INR 1.4 billion currently, INR 7.5 billion-plus in 4-5 years) will strengthen ABREL’s balance sheet and support sustained BD investments.

With Aditya Birla’s parentage, a high-calibre leadership team, strategic diversification and a robust balance sheet, ABREL is well-positioned to ride the current upcycle and gain market share across key metros.

Making the right moves: Aditya Birla Group holds top-three positions across its businesses in India and globally. Leveraging its strong brand equity, focused geographic selection and experienced leadership team, the company has quickly emerged as a serious contender in the domestic residential real estate space. Despite being a relatively new entrant, it posted a 90 per cent pre-sales CAGR during FY21-FY25 and is already among the top-5 players by value.

BD additions of INR 400 billion-plus, strategic tie-ups fuel growth visibility: ABREL has added projects with a cumulative GDV of INR 442 billion (FY21-FY25), of which INR Rs 404 billion came in just the last two years. Partnerships with marquee players like Mitsubishi and IFC add strength on both funding and execution fronts.

With a 20-25 per cent pre-sales growth target, the company is actively expanding across its core geos—MMR, Bengaluru, Pune and NCR.

Growth would be driven by
(a) 3.6 msf/INR 59 billion-plus of unsold inventory
(b) 21.1msf/ INR 460 billion-plus of under-approval projects (to be launched in near-to-mid-term)
(c) A sizeable land bank and
(d) New BD additions (INR 150 billion-200 billion annually).

Annuity upside, paper exit to boost growth firepower: ABREL’s operational annuity income (INR 1.4 billion currently) is set to scale up significantly to INR 7.5 billion-plus over the next 4-5 years. The recent INR 35 billion paper business divestment (netting INR 11billion-12 billion in proceeds) further fortifies the balance sheet, allowing ABREL to sustain its BD momentum without straining leverage.

View: ABREL has all the levers in place: strong parentage and brand, a healthy portfolio and a robust balance sheet—positioning it well for long-term growth. Initiate with LONG and a SOTP-based Mar’26 TP of INR 3,076.

Key risks: Slowdown in real estate cycle, regulatory challenges, slower-than-expected execution and higher-than-expected commodity prices.

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